摩根大通经济学家预计美联储将加息75个基点
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博链财经获悉,6月14日,摩根大通经济学家Michael Feroli认为,通胀飙升将推动美联储将利率提高75个基点,100个基点也是可能的。
Feroli在一份报告中告诉客户,长期通胀预期的惊人上升可能会推动美联储在周三将利率提高75个基点甚至100个基点,这是一个不小的风险。
高盛分析师也同意Feroli的观点,认为加息75个基点可能会在FOMC会议上宣布,高盛经济学家解释说,我们的美联储预测正在修订,包括在6月和7月加息75个基点。
高盛分析师在给投资者的报告中补充道:
预计2023年将再加息两次至3.75-4%,然后在2024年下调一次至3.5-3.75%;
预计9月将增加50个基点,随后11月和12月将增加25个基点,最终利率将保持在3.25-3.5%不变;
预计到2022年底,中位点将显示3.25-3.5%。
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