Bitcoin and Ethereum Evening Trading Recommendations and Future Trend Analysis: 3/19 The current market is in a clear downtrend, with technical signals and moving averages both pointing to a bearish outlook. Although there is a potential rebound due to oversold sentiment, the overall trend remains bearish, and the candlestick pattern shows that bearish forces dominate. Externally, market sentiment remains neutral. Although some assets have performed strongly in the short term, the expectation of a European Central Bank interest rate hike and geopolitical risks continue to put pressure on the market. Therefore, the overall market structure shows downside risks, and investors need to be cautious. Bitcoin Trading Recommendation: Short in the 70000-705000 range, target 69000-685000. Ethereum Trading Recommendation: Short in the 2140-2160 range, target 2080-2050.

Following last night's short positions at 72500 and 2250, we again suggested shorting Bitcoin/Ethereum around 71500 and 2220 during today's daytime session. During the pullback, we warned of further downside potential, and Bitcoin/Ethereum has now reached lows of around 69000 and 2110 respectively, successfully validating our short positions. These two short positions have yielded over 4000 points and 200 points of profit for Bitcoin/Ethereum. Congratulations to those who followed our strategy for another successful trade!

Bitcoin/Ethereum short positions were opened last night at the current price of 72500 and 2250, but retraced to around 70500 and 2150. Short positions were then opened again this morning at the current price of 71500 and 2220. The price rallied and then fell back, currently reaching a low of around 69400 and 2140. Overall, the price action has been quite good, but the overall trend is weak, with limited rebound strength. The break above has created resistance, and further downside is possible tonight and into the early morning. Watch the 68000 and 2100 support levels.

Analysis of the 4-hour price trend: The 4-hour candlestick chart shows large bearish candles with huge volume at 20:00 on March 18th and 12:00 on March 19th, forming a sharp drop and confirming a short-term trend reversal. The current price is consolidating in the low area after the recent sharp drop, indicating that short-term selling pressure has eased somewhat but the overall trend remains weak. The daily chart shows that after the surge on March 16th, a large bearish candle with huge volume appeared on March 18th, forming a strong reversal signal, indicating that the bullish momentum is exhausted and the bears are in control. Analysis of the 4-hour Ethereum technical indicators: The price quickly fell from the upper Bollinger Band area, broke through the middle band, and approached the lower band, confirming the bearish trend. There is short-term support near the lower band. The MACD DIF (4.93) crossed below the DEA (28.73), and the MACD histogram is negative and continues to expand, indicating that the bearish momentum is increasing and the downtrend is still continuing. KDJ (17.46), D (23.32), and J (5.73) are all in oversold territory, and the three lines are diverging downwards, indicating strong short-term downward momentum. However, oversold conditions also suggest a potential technical rebound. EMA: On the 4-hour chart, the price has broken below EMA7 and EMA30, with EMA7 crossing below EMA30 to form a death cross, indicating a shift to a downtrend in the short and medium term. EMA7 (2193.82) and EMA30 (2208.82) are currently providing resistance. EMA120 (2112.10) may offer support. Ethereum Trading Recommendation: Short positions are recommended around 2170-2190, with a target of 2140-2110. Hold short positions if the trend breaks below 2100! This strategy is time-sensitive; implementation will be based on free guidance.

Why the sharp drop? Last night, the Federal Reserve gave the answer the market least wanted to hear: 1. Interest rates unchanged, but inflation forecasts revised upward – Powell raised the 2026 inflation forecast from 2.4% to 2.7%, citing increased inflationary pressure due to the Iran war pushing up oil prices. 2. Further delay in rate cuts – Powell stated there is a "tense relationship between objectives," wanting to curb inflation while also worrying about slowing growth, essentially telling the market: don't expect a rate cut this year. 3. Classic "sell the fact" scenario – the market had been "buying the rumor" for the past two weeks, reaching 76,000. After the results were released, the expectations were realized, and those who had positioned themselves early took profits, causing BTC to fall from 73,900 to 70,900 last night. This isn't a crash; it's a normal market correction after digesting hawkish signals. The Nasdaq closed down 1.5% yesterday, gold fell 3.1%, and global risk assets all declined. This isn't a problem with BTC; it's a change in the macroeconomic environment.

The short positions in Bitcoin/Ethereum entered last night around 72500 and 2250 during the decline, and the price dropped to around 70500 and 2150 respectively, resulting in a decent overall drop. Currently, the price is experiencing some rebounds, but a rebound does not necessarily indicate a reversal; the trend has already broken down, and the rebounds are simply opportunities to re-enter short positions. The 4-hour chart shows a large bearish candlestick with huge volume last night, confirming the end of the previous uptrend and the start of a correction. The subsequent two 4-hour candlesticks showed small bullish candlesticks with small bodies, indicating that the market is attempting to stabilize after the rapid decline, but the rebound strength is limited. Technically, the 4-hour MACD indicator shows the DIF line crossing below the DEA line, the MACD histogram is negative, and both DIF and DEA are running below the zero axis, indicating a short-term bearish trend with continued downward momentum. Furthermore, the current rebound volume is decreasing, indicating a lack of strong buying support and that the current rebound may only be a technical bounce within a downtrend. Trading recommendations: Continue shorting Bitcoin around 71,500 to 72,000, with a target of 69,000 to 70,000; Continue shorting Ethereum around 2,220 to 2,240, with a target of 2,120 to 2,160.

Looking at the daily chart for Bitcoin, after a previous high followed by a pullback and a closing price reversal, the price opened lower today with consecutive bearish candles. The Bollinger Bands show signs of narrowing, short-term moving averages are flattening and turning downwards, the MACD fast and slow lines are turning downwards with decreasing volume, the KDJ has crossed and is extending downwards, and the VR indicator is consolidating around 110. On the four-hour chart, the price has fallen for three consecutive days and is currently finding support around the 60-day moving average and the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are flattening and showing signs of opening downwards, short-term moving averages are turning downwards, the MACD fast and slow lines are extending downwards with increasing volume, the KDJ found support near 0 and is turning upwards, and the VR indicator is consolidating around 70. Overall, the price has encountered resistance after its initial rise and failed to break through and stabilize around 76,000. The probability of retesting the 70,000-69,000 level is increasing. The interest rate decision early Thursday morning is expected to cause market volatility, so short-term trading will likely remain range-bound. Although the price broke through the previous trading range, it lacked sustained strength. If the news is positive, it could test resistance again. The short-term resistance level to watch is around 74,000, while the support level is around 69,000. See short-term trading suggestions. Bitcoin short-term suggestions: Short at 73,300, Long at 69,800 (Take profits as needed after strategy activation). Ethereum's technical trend is similar to Bitcoin's, having encountered resistance around 2400 and retracing. The previous daily candlestick closed as a bearish candle at a high level. After a slight rebound at the open, it plunged again, breaking below 2200. The short-term resistance level to watch is around 2300. If the rebound fails to break through, continue to expect a retracement. The support level to watch is around 2050. See short-term trading suggestions. Ethereum short-term suggestions: Long at 2070, Short at 2285 (Click the image to see the homepage introduction for more cryptocurrency analysis). — I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher specializing in technical analysis. If you have any questions about trading or trends, feel free to discuss and learn with me! Let's exchange ideas and profit together!

During the evening's decline in Bitcoin/Ethereum, we decisively entered short positions near 72500 and 2250. The price continued to fall, reaching a low of around 70800 and 2170 so far, resulting in a decent overall profit. With the interest rate decision expected at 2:00 AM and 2:30 AM, further declines are anticipated. Watch the 69000 and 2080 support levels. Congratulations to those who followed our strategy and secured another good profit with their short positions.

The Fed decision is coming, and the market suddenly dropped. Is this a bearish signal? Many people have assumed the market is going down after the recent rally, but I disagree. The market has been consolidating recently, suggesting that major players have been planning this for a while. Therefore, I placed long orders around 73500 and 2300 this afternoon! Although the market is currently falling, I suggest those following my advice add to their positions around 72000 and 2220, averaging down to around 72800 and 2260 respectively. Long positions can be held patiently. Those who haven't entered yet can consider entering long positions directly around 72000 and 2220 this evening. Targets are: Bitcoin around 73500-74000, Ethereum around 2300-2340.

Ethereum short positions have been closed out for several consecutive days with profits, and the current trend suggests the downtrend is continuing... Those holding short positions shouldn't worry; feel free to ask me if you're unsure how to exit. Analysis of Ethereum indicators on the 4-hour chart: Bollinger Bands (BOLL) Middle Band: 2264.73. The current price is below the middle band, indicating a weakening short-term trend. Upper Band: 2421.09, Lower Band: 2108.36. The price has fallen rapidly from near the upper band, and the Bollinger Bands are showing signs of widening downwards, indicating releasing bearish momentum. MACD DIF: 46.17, DEA: 57.13, MACD histogram: -21.91. The DIF has crossed below the DEA, forming a death cross, and the green histogram continues to expand, indicating weakening bullish momentum and confirming the downtrend. Further downward pressure is expected in the short term. KDJ K: 27.50, D: 43.56, J: -4.63. The J value has entered the oversold zone (<20), and both K and D lines are trending downwards, indicating strong short-term downward momentum, but a technical rebound after oversold conditions is also possible. Short-term trend: The 4-hour chart clearly shows weakness, with the price breaking below the middle Bollinger Band + MACD death cross + KDJ oversold conditions, suggesting a high probability of continued pullback. The first support level is around the lower Bollinger Band at 2108, followed by the previous low of 1906. Rebound opportunity: If the price stabilizes in the 2200-2220 range, a golden cross in the KDJ may occur, leading to a small technical rebound, but the rebound's height is likely limited to around the middle Bollinger Band at 2264. This strategy is time-sensitive; implementation will primarily rely on free guidance!

Last night's strategy of shorting on rallies perfectly hit all target levels! The market today generally saw a rise followed by a fall, with short-term fluctuations during the daytime session. The evening saw a significant drop in volume from the bears. Our pre-planned strategy of shorting on rallies last night—Bitcoin shorting at 74000-74500 with a target of 72000—has already been reached, yielding a profit of 2000 points. Ethereum shorting around 2330-2350 has also reached its target, currently at a low of 2230, yielding a profit of over 100 points. Congratulations to those who followed our shorting strategy and profited! For more real-time strategy guidance, please follow our page for further discussion!

The interest rate decision was released at 2:00 AM, followed by Powell's speech at 2:30 AM. For details on the dot plot, please refer to the previous article for analysis. Bitcoin/Ethereum, after consolidating for over a day before the data release, experienced a pullback in the evening, breaking below the previous starting points of 2300 and around 73500, as well as the 4-hour moving average, indicating a clear weakening trend. This reflects market expectations that the data release was not ideal, suggesting further downside potential. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive large bearish candles after the initial surge, indicating that bears are in control and prices are falling rapidly. The daily chart shows a large bullish candle followed by a correction. The evening's pullback broke the uptrend, forming a strong bearish engulfing pattern, confirming the short-term downtrend. Technically, the 4-hour MACD has formed a death cross (DIF crossing below DEA, and the MACD histogram showing negative values and continuing to expand), indicating strong short-term downward momentum. Evening trading recommendations: Bitcoin: Continue shorting around 72500-73000, with a target of 70000-71000; Ethereum: Continue shorting around 2250-2270, with a target of 2150-2180, and if it breaks down, continue to look for 68500 and 2100.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Afternoon Trading Suggestions and Future Trend Analysis: March 18th - Buy signal. Daily trend continues. The four-hour chart shows a pullback confirming strong sideways movement near historical highs. The four-hour chart has repeatedly found support at the EMA50 moving average, and buying activity remains stable above 0.5, indicating strong support below. The daily EMA20/50 is well-aligned in a bullish pattern, and the price remains firm despite negative interest rates, representing a typical bullish continuation pattern. Analyst Xiao Ma's Diary suggests the following trades: Bitcoin: Buy around 73500-74000, target 75500-76000. Ethereum: Buy around 2300-2320, target 2380-2420.

The Fed's interest rate decision will be released at 2:00 AM, followed by Powell's monetary policy press conference at 2:30 AM, directly influencing the next round of price movements in the cryptocurrency market. Firstly, the Fed's rate decision is expected to maintain the current interest rate range of 3.5-3.75%, with a zero probability of a rate cut – a consensus widely held. The key focus is on the core of the dot plot: the December dot plot projected one rate cut in 2026, while this decision hinges on whether it will be revised to two or zero cuts. If there are zero cuts, and Powell's speech is hawkish, emphasizing sticky inflation, data dependence, and a lack of urgency for rate cuts, along with upward revisions to inflation expectations and downward revisions to GDP growth, reinforcing the idea of prolonged high interest rates, then the short-term outlook is bearish. Conversely, if there are more dovish rate cuts or even earlier cuts, the dollar and US Treasury yields will decline, leading to capital inflows, increased risk appetite, and a continued surge in the cryptocurrency market. A zero-rate-cut dot plot equals increased expectations of tightening liquidity, a stronger dollar, and higher US Treasury yields. In a high-interest-rate environment, funds prefer the dollar and US Treasuries, squeezing out new capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market. The market is sensitive to price delays in interest rate cuts, exhibiting a "buy the rumor, sell the fact" mentality, which can easily lead to an initial drop followed by consolidation. If only one or more rate cuts are implemented, the market is likely to be dovish, with the negative news already priced in, resulting in a small rebound or a significant continued rise followed by consolidation. Pay attention to Powell's key words in his speech early this morning: "sticky inflation" and "data-dependent" will indicate a hawkish stance; "conditions for a rate cut are ripe" will indicate a dovish stance.

My current view on BTC is roughly as follows: On the monthly chart, the two key levels are 76 and 79. We reached 76 this morning. On the 12-hour chart, this upward move touched the first bearish candle in Vegas. Therefore, within this 12-hour timeframe, we should look for a 4-hour pullback and try shorting again, targeting 746-755. If we get stopped out, we'll wait for the next high to test. Where there's a 100% certainty, logical reasoning, a key price level, and a good risk-reward ratio, we should try.

12-hour chart: Bullish trend continues: KDJ and MACD maintain an upward stance, and moving averages are in a bullish alignment. Adjustment needed: The upward momentum of indicators is slightly weakening, the Bollinger Bands have broken down after widening, and there is a gap between the short-term price and the 5-day moving average. Intraday adjustment is needed to fill the indicator and technical gaps. 4-hour chart: KDJ and MACD bullish volume is decreasing, and the MA5 moving average's upward momentum is slowing; the TD indicator has stabilized above TD9 and TD13, undergoing a technical correction. The recommended strategy is to sell on rallies, with specific entry points as follows: - BTC: Sell at 74000-74500, target 72000 - ETH: Sell near 2330-2350, target 2230 Note: The above analysis and suggestions are for reference only. Market conditions are constantly changing, and this article may be outdated. Please refer to real-time guidance for actual operations.

The 4-hour chart shows a strong upward trend starting from a low of 1906.63, reaching a high of 2385.78, and is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. Technically, the long upper shadow candlesticks following the initial rapid rise indicate emerging selling pressure, suggesting that the bulls are temporarily unable to continue their strong upward push. Analyzing the 4-hour technical indicators, the Bollinger Bands are: Middle Band: 2200.65, Upper Band: 2409.28, Lower Band: 1992.02. The price is currently trading below the upper band and above the middle band, indicating a strong upward trend, but there is still some room before reaching the upper band, meaning it hasn't fully topped out. The Bollinger Bands are widening upwards, indicating an overall bullish trend, but there are signs of a short-term pullback from the highs. The MACD indicators are: DIF=68.24, DEA=57.57, MACD=21.34 (red bars). The DIF is above the DEA, and the red bars are still positive, but they are starting to shorten, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a short-term exhaustion of upward potential. KDJ K=70.78, D=77.98, J=56.37. All three lines (K, D, and J) are in overbought territory near 80, and the J line has turned downwards. The K line has also begun to cross below the D line, signaling a short-term overbought pullback. Be wary of the risk of a price decline. Support levels: First, look at around 2250 (recent low), then look at the Bollinger Middle Band around 2200. Resistance levels: Previous high 2385.78, Bollinger Upper Band around 2409. Ethereum trading suggestion: Short Ethereum is recommended around 2320-2340, with target prices of 2300-2270-2250, and a stop-loss at 2380. This strategy is time-sensitive; implementation will primarily rely on free guidance.

From the chart, Ethereum has been exhibiting a one-sided short squeeze since its recent low, with consecutive bullish candles on the 4-hour chart. The price is above all moving averages, and the main chart moving averages show a standard bullish alignment. The overall trend remains intact, but due to the significant price increase, a technical pullback is likely in the short term. Bollinger Bands (BOLL): The price (2329.76) is closely following the upper Bollinger Band (UP:2379.81), with the upper band widening upwards. Interpretation: This is a typical characteristic of a strong one-sided market. The price sticking to the upper band indicates extremely strong bullish momentum, but it also means it's in overbought territory. Risk: The current price is slightly below the upper band and has experienced a small pullback, indicating strong selling pressure in the 2380-2390 range. A direct upward surge is unlikely in the short term; a pullback to the middle band (MID:2177.56) is more probable. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) Status: The DIF (69.06) and DEA (51.33) lines are running at high levels above the zero axis. Although the red bars (MACD: 35.47) remain positive, the rate of increase is slowing down. Interpretation: Bullish momentum still dominates, but there are obvious signs of weakening momentum. This is usually a signal of the end of an uptrend, indicating a sharp increase in the risk of chasing high prices in the short term. The market may digest high-level profit-taking through consolidation. KDJ (Stochastic Oscillator) Status: The K (82.63), D (82.92), and J (82.04) values are all in the overbought zone, and the J value is starting to show a downward trend. Interpretation: KDJ overbought conditions are normal in a strong market, but if a death cross occurs (K crosses below the D line), it will trigger a short-term rapid pullback. Currently, the indicator is signaling a short-term cooling down.

The short position on Bitcoin, as mentioned above, saw a move of over $1000, while the second short position at 76000 saw a move of around $2000. Looking at the daily chart, the previous candlestick was a solid bullish candle. Intraday, the price opened higher, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average before pulling back. The Bollinger Bands are widening, and short-term moving averages are turning upwards. The MACD fast and slow lines are extending upwards, but the volume bars are shrinking. The KDJ indicator is encountering resistance near 110 and turning downwards. The VR indicator is consolidating around 130. On the four-hour chart, the price rose consecutively, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band before encountering resistance and pulling back. The Bollinger Bands are slightly widening, and short-term moving averages are flattening. The MACD fast and slow lines are turning downwards, and the volume bars are continuing to shrink. The KDJ indicator has crossed downwards after turning, and the VR indicator is consolidating around 110. Overall, Bitcoin broke through the previous high without continuing the upward trend and then pulled back, indicating a continued bullish bias. However, caution is advised with each upward move; blindly chasing the price is not recommended. In the short term, continue to monitor the breakout of highs. Watch the 76000 level above and the 73000 level below for short-term support. See short-term suggestions below. Bitcoin short-term suggestions: Buy at 73300, Sell at 75500 (Sell at 77600) (Take profits as needed). Ethereum's current short position, as mentioned above, has seen limited pullback. The second entry point saw a move of about 80 dollars. The four-hour chart shows a pullback after the initial surge, indicating a need for adjustment. Intraday price action is correlated with Bitcoin's, so the strategy is synchronized. Continue to watch the 2400 level for resistance; if it breaks, watch the 2500 level below. Support is around 2200. See short-term suggestions below. Ethereum short-term suggestions: Buy at 2260, Sell at 2380 (Sell at 2470) (Click the image to see the homepage introduction for more coin analysis). — I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher specializing in technical analysis. If you have any questions about trading or trends, feel free to discuss and learn with me! Let's exchange ideas and profit together!

Ethereum long positions yesterday have all reached their targets, with a high of 2387. Congratulations to those who followed! All of Lao Jin's strategies predict trends in advance and are implemented ahead of time. Trend is king; follow the trend. A new round of positioning is about to begin. Click on the homepage to follow; the minimum investment is 10,000 USDT. Those with lower amounts, please do not inquire.