1. Higher-than-expected CPI (overheated inflation) = Negative for the cryptocurrency market: inflation rebound, delayed Fed rate cuts or even restarted rate hikes, stronger dollar, rising US Treasury yields, increased opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing cryptocurrencies, risk capital flight, rapid short-term decline in BTC and ETH, and even larger drops in altcoins. 2. Lower-than-expected CPI (cooling inflation) = Positive for the cryptocurrency market: continued decline in inflation, significantly increased probability of a September rate cut, weaker dollar, looser liquidity, increased risk appetite, capital inflow into the crypto market, rapid rise in BTC and ETH, easily triggering a short squeeze. 3. CPI exactly in line with expectations = Neutral, narrow range fluctuations with no expectation gap, funds on the sidelines, short-term up-and-down fluctuations, quickly returning to the original trend, limited volatility.

Bitcoin's daily chart shows a bearish candlestick pattern, indicating upward resistance and a pullback. Intraday opening saw narrow-range consolidation above the 60-day moving average. Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with short-term moving averages slightly downward. The MACD fast and slow lines are trending downward with increasing green histogram bars. The KDJ is extending downwards; watch for support near the 0 level. The VR indicator is consolidating around 110. On the 4-hour chart, the price is slowly rising and currently trading around the 7-period moving average. Bollinger Bands are widening downwards, with short-term moving averages trending downwards. The MACD fast and slow lines are extending downwards with decreasing volume. The KDJ is crossing upwards; watch for resistance near the 50 level. The VR indicator is consolidating around 50. Overall, the price continues to trade within a narrow range, with resistance remaining unbroken. Short-term resistance is around 64800; a rebound failing to break this level suggests a potential shorting opportunity. Key short-term support remains around 62000; a break below this level could accelerate a retest of the bottom. The CPI data will be released tonight. In this bear market consolidation phase, there are unlikely to be any major positive news; just be wary of volatile price action. Short-term trading suggestions: Bitcoin short-term suggestion: Short at 64400. (Take profits as needed after strategy activation) The short position at 1900 given above on Ethereum was slightly off. The market is slowly rising but still under pressure, and will continue to fluctuate narrowly within a small range in the short term. The overall technical trend of the daily and four-hour charts can be referenced in conjunction with Bitcoin's. The short-term resistance level to watch is around the previous high, and the support level is above 1800. The strategy can be used again for short-term trading suggestions. Ethereum short-term suggestion: Short at 1900. (For more cryptocurrency analysis, click the image to see the homepage introduction and find Yueying) — I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher specializing in technical analysis. Friends with any questions about trading or trends are welcome to communicate and learn with me! Let's exchange ideas and profit together!

The strategy for Bitcoin/Ethereum, which involved multiple short-selling rallies, saw the price drop to around 63200 and 1850 in the early morning, maximizing the potential downside. Currently, the price is rebounding again, experiencing repeated fluctuations. Frankly, while there has been some volatility recently, the slow pace has sapped the patience of many. The CPI data release tonight, primarily reflecting last month's inflation, suggests a continued upward trend with potential for a pullback, given last month's oil price increases and ongoing US-Iran tensions. The 4-hour chart shows a rebound after finding short-term support in the early morning, but the upward momentum is weakening, with the latest candlestick being a small positive line with shrinking volume. The daily chart shows a large bearish candlestick with high volume followed by a weak rebound to correct the previous decline, but selling pressure remains. Technically, the DIF line is still below the DEA line, but the MACD histogram is showing a continued convergence of negative values, indicating weakening bearish momentum and a potential golden cross in the short term. The recent rebound has been accompanied by gradually shrinking volume, indicating insufficient buying power and raising doubts about the sustainability of the rebound. Trading suggestions: Enter short positions on Bitcoin around 64000, add to short positions at 64800, with targets around 61500 to 62500; Enter short positions on Ethereum around 1895, add to short positions around 1920, with targets around 1800 to 1830, and further targets at 65500 and 1950. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear your own risks. Article review and publication are not timely; please refer to real-time information.

Currently, BTC is at 63,737.0 USDT (-0.44%), and ETH is at 1,883.91 USDT (+0.32%). The market is consolidating, awaiting tonight's CPI data. --- Tonight at 20:30, the US July CPI is expected (based on data from Jinshi Data and mainstream surveys): · Overall CPI YoY: Expected 3.4% (Previous 3.5%) · Core CPI YoY: Expected 2.5% (Previous 2.6%) · Both are expected to rise moderately month-on-month, with a high degree of market consensus. --- Three Scenarios and Their Impact on BTC/ETH Scenario Probability BTC Reaction ETH Reaction Lower Than Expected (≤3.2%) ~25% Bullish, BTC breaks through 65,000, targeting 65,700 ETH rises in tandem to 1,920+ In Line with Expectations (3.3%-3.5%) ~55% Oscillating, oscillating between 63,500 and 64,900, ETH 1,870-1,910 Higher Than Expected (≥3.6%) ~20% Bearish, BTC retraces to around 62,200, ETH falls towards 1,820 Probability Basis: Reuters/Bloomberg consensus is concentrated, Calci's market prediction shows only a 15% probability of being higher than 3.4%, oil price rebound poses upside risk. --- Summary High probability (55%) In line with expectations, the market remains volatile; if there are unexpected deviations, it may break the multi-week consolidation. Significant price spikes are expected before and after the data release. Our internal community provides precise entry points in advance. For trading advice, please check my profile QQ. There are no barriers to entry for following our advice.

Gold (XAU) Trading Recommendations and Future Trend Analysis (August 12th): The current XAU price is in a range-bound trading pattern, lacking a clear trend signal. Although the price is fluctuating above the key support level of 4049.24, indicating some buying support, the shrinking trading volume and the divergence between price and volume suggest investors should remain cautious. Externally, market sentiment is leaning towards greed, especially the optimism in the Bitcoin market, which may provide some support for XAU prices. However, the lack of strong trading volume to support the current upward trend means investors should be aware of the potential risk of a pullback. Analyst Xiao Ma's Trading Recommendation: Short gold (XAU) around 4400-4420, target 4350-4320.

Short positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum are currently showing continued strength: On August 12th, our afternoon short positions at 64200 and around 1880 are still showing strength, and all trades executed have yielded profits. There is still room for further decline, so be patient and hold your positions; time will allow you to profit. For those who lack patience, have experienced margin calls, or suffered significant stop-losses, we encourage you to communicate with me (Little Ma) to explore different strategies and solutions!

The short positions in Bitcoin/Ethereum have generally performed well. However, the short positions in SOL and UNI have performed even better, especially UNI, which has consistently been emphasized as a shorting strategy. As of today, the price has dropped rapidly again to around 3.68, demonstrating the significant potential for shorting.

Following previous recommendations to short/add to short positions at 65300 and 1935, we again advised shorting above 64300 and 1885 during today's daytime session. After the price surged, it fell back, reaching a low of around 63400 and 1850 so far. Short positions have once again yielded good profits. The market is currently moving slowly. Congratulations to those who followed our strategy and successfully profited.

Current market conditions (at the time of writing): BTC $64,299 (-1.07%), ETH $1,891 (-1.32%). The overall market is weak and volatile, with strong investor caution as they await guidance from macroeconomic data. The key focus is on the CPI data at 20:30 tomorrow. Although our internal community has consistently provided precise entry and exit strategies during this volatile market, those interested in following our trades can check my profile on QQ. There are no entry barriers to following our trades; each trade is live, and you can check our previous articles for our win rate. --- BTC (Current Price ~64,000) · Resistance: 64,300 (short-term), 64,800–65,000 · Support: 63,400–63,500, 62,700 · Strategy: Short at 64,500–64,900, stop loss above 65,000; or long at 63,300–63,500 with a stop loss at 62,900. ETH (Current Price ~1,875) · Resistance: 1,885–1,895, 1,900–1,920 · Support: 1,850–1,855, 1,830 · Strategy: Sell short at 1900-1920, stop loss at 1945, target 1880-1860. Buy long on a pullback to 1850-1830, stop loss at 1810.

The short position in Bitcoin at 65300 mentioned above was executed, and the price moved within a range of approximately 1500 dollars. Looking at the daily chart, the previous candlestick closed as a solid bearish candle, breaking below the middle Bollinger Band, and the intraday opening continued the weak, volatile consolidation. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with short-term moving averages arranged in parallel. The MACD fast and slow lines crossed downwards, with the green histogram showing slight expansion. The KDJ is crossing downwards; watch for support around the 50 level. The VR indicator is consolidating around the 120 level. On the 4-hour chart, the price is facing resistance at the 60-day moving average and is currently trading above the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are widening, short-term moving averages are trending downwards, the MACD fast and slow lines are extending downwards with continued expansion of the histogram, the KDJ has turned downwards again; watch for support around the 0 level. The VR indicator is consolidating around the 70 level. Overall, the price action, with its rebound met with resistance and trending downwards, is in line with expectations. Currently, the price is in a consolidation and correction phase within a downtrend; only a decisive breakout from this range will clarify the future direction. The short-term resistance level to watch is around 65500, while the support level is the 63000 mark, a key level for determining bullish or bearish trends. A break below this level could open up further downside potential; otherwise, expect continued consolidation. For Bitcoin, the short-term suggestion is to short at 64700. (Take profits as needed after strategy activation.) The short position given above on Ethereum was precisely executed, resulting in a move of over 60 dollars. Following Bitcoin's decline, the price is currently consolidating within a narrow range. The overall technical analysis of the daily and four-hour charts can be referenced in tandem with Bitcoin. The short-term resistance level to watch is around the previous high, while the support level is above 1800. A break above this level could lead to further consolidation. For Ethereum, the short-term suggestion is to short at 1900. (For more cryptocurrency analysis, click the image to see the homepage introduction.) —I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher specializing in technical analysis. If you have any questions about trading or trends, feel free to discuss and learn with me! Let's exchange ideas and profit together!

Bitcoin and Ethereum Afternoon Trading Suggestions and Future Trend Analysis: 8/11 Based on the current market trend, the overall trend remains weak, with insufficient upward momentum. Our previously established short positions have yielded significant gains, and those who followed have profited. Going forward, we recommend focusing on shorting on pullbacks to higher levels. Analyst Xiao Ma's Diary Trading Suggestions: Bitcoin: Short around 64000-64500, target 63000-62500; Ethereum: Short around 1880-1900, target 1830-1800.

Gold has seen several consecutive days of gains on the daily chart, but the four-hour chart shows a pullback after a surge, closing with a large bearish candle breaking the previous four-hour low, indicating a weakening trend. Furthermore, the daily chart is gradually entering a topping phase, so selling on rallies remains a viable strategy. Trading suggestion: Sell near xau4385-4400, with a target near 4300 and a further target of 4440.

The market is currently in a downtrend. Try to short SNDK around 1260-1270, with a target of around 1210 and a follow-up target of 1285. SOL around 76.5-77.5, with a target of around 73 and a follow-up target of 78. UNI around 4.02-4.05, with a target of around 3.9-3.85 and a follow-up target of 4.1. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear your own risks. Article review and publication are not timely; please refer to real-time information.

As previously mentioned, shorting on rallies and adding to short positions in Bitcoin/Ethereum has been a clear pattern, with the price ralliing and then falling to around 63800 and 1870, a significant drop. Currently, the rebound after the decline is weak. The previous sideways consolidation at high levels followed by a break below the previous lows indicates a clear continuation pattern, suggesting further downside potential. The 4-hour chart shows a short-term top formed around 1930 and 65300, followed by a large bearish candle with high volume last night, confirming the short-term downtrend. Currently, the price is consolidating, with the latest candle showing a lower shadow, indicating some buying support below. Technical indicators on the 4-hour chart show both the DIF and DEA lines below the zero line, with the DIF crossing below the DEA to form a death cross. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, indicating strong bearish momentum. Both the 4-hour and daily charts show that last night's decline was accompanied by significantly increased trading volume, indicating strong market panic and selling pressure. Recent volume contraction suggests a slight easing of short-term selling pressure, but buying power has not yet significantly increased. Trading suggestions: Continue shorting Bitcoin around 64300-64800, with a target of 62000-63000; continue shorting Ethereum around 1885-1900, with a target of 1800-1830. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear your own risks. Article review and publication are not timely; please refer to real-time information.

Our Bitcoin and Ethereum short-selling strategy has once again yielded full profits: On August 11th, our Bitcoin and Ethereum short-selling strategy was validated again. Our bearish outlook focused on the 65200 level for Bitcoin and the 1920 level for Ethereum. Following our lead, we entered short positions on Bitcoin around 65200 and Ethereum around 1920. Our strategy performed perfectly. Although the positions were held for almost two days, the final result was perfect. Currently, Bitcoin and Ethereum are in a downward trend, reaching around 64200 and 1870 respectively. Therefore, we gained nearly 1000 points on Bitcoin and nearly 50 points on Ethereum. Congratulations to those who followed our strategy and profited. Strategies have a certain time sensitivity; real-time updates are crucial.

The Bitcoin/Ethereum market has been frankly quite unpredictable these past few days. It's not a matter of whether it's going up or down, but rather that the movement has been incredibly slow and frustrating. We've repeatedly advised shorting on rallies and adding to short positions, targeting the 65800 and 1950 levels. The market rallied and then fell back, currently reaching lows of around 64300 and 1870 respectively. Further downside is expected, with short-term support levels around 63000 and 1820. Given the slow market movement, patience is key. Congratulations to those who followed our strategy and successfully profited.

Bitcoin's daily chart shows a doji candlestick pattern, a false breakout above 65,000 followed by a pullback. Intraday trading opened with a narrow range of consolidation at higher levels. The Bollinger Bands are flat, while short-term moving averages are trending upwards. The MACD fast and slow lines are moving upwards with increasing red histogram bars. The KDJ is extending upwards; watch for resistance around 100. The VR indicator is consolidating around 110. On the 4-hour chart, the price found support at the middle Bollinger Band and is slowly rising. The Bollinger Bands are parallel upwards, and short-term moving averages are aligned horizontally. The MACD fast and slow lines are crossing downwards with decreasing green histogram bars. The KDJ is turning upwards; watch for resistance around 50. The VR indicator is consolidating around 130. Overall, the market continues to fluctuate within a small range. Trading was even lighter over the weekend with little change. We'll focus on whether there will be any changes tonight. Technically, continue to focus on the points mentioned before. In the short term, watch for resistance around 66000. If it doesn't break, expect a pullback. On the downside, watch for short-term support around 63800. A break below this level would target the previously mentioned horizontal support around 62000. Use these resistance and support levels as references for short-term entry. See short-term suggestions. Bitcoin short-term suggestion: Short at 65300. (Take profits as needed after strategy activation.) Ethereum is fluctuating narrowly above 1900, with no change in the short-term market structure. The overall technical trend on the daily and four-hour charts can be referenced in conjunction with Bitcoin. Watch for short-term resistance around 1950 and support around 1850. A break below these levels would lead to further adjustments. See short-term suggestions. Ethereum short-term suggestion: Short at 1930. (For more cryptocurrency analysis, click the image to see the homepage introduction and find Yueying.) — I am Zhou Yueying, a teacher specializing in technical analysis. If you have any questions about trading strategies or market trends, feel free to discuss and learn with me! Let's exchange ideas and profit together!

Bitcoin/Ethereum has been trading sideways for some time now. Will this sideways movement continue until the CPI data release next Wednesday at 8:30 PM? That would be interesting. Next week's data is unlikely to be good; we'll see if it's a case of the negative news fading and a rebound. During this sideways movement, pay close attention to the daily highs around 65500 and the area around 1950. If a valid breakout and hold above these levels doesn't occur, short positions should be taken, and patience is needed to wait for the price to fall. A series of factors, including record highs in US stocks, ongoing US-Iran conflict, a recent surge in gold prices, persistently high inflation, and the upcoming midterm elections, suggest that the price may experience another drop. However, it's still necessary to focus on trend trading.

Last night, during the Bitcoin/Ethereum price surge, we again reminded investors to consider shorting near 1935 and 65300, and to add to existing short positions. The market has been largely consolidating this week, with minimal volatility, poor liquidity, and an unclear trend. Geopolitical tensions caused oil price fluctuations, pushing up inflation expectations and activating demand for gold as a safe haven. Unexpectedly weak US non-farm payrolls in July severely impacted interest rate hike expectations, leading to a decline in both US Treasury yields and the US dollar. These two forces combined to push gold to its best weekly performance in seven months, while the cryptocurrency market continued its low-level rally followed by consolidation, showing little clear movement. The key focus going forward will be on the impact of next week's CPI data on the cryptocurrency market. Frankly, this narrow consolidation is incredibly demanding on patience. Many people lose patience in this kind of market and directly trade altcoins, especially those with higher volatility, making it even more difficult to control. We've been trying to trade some altcoins that have seen significant short-term price surges in the past few days, such as ADA reaching around 0.21 and UNI during its upward movement. However, trading these altcoins two or three times a month is sufficient; focusing too much on them won't yield good results. Currently, these two coins can be considered for short positions during their price rallies, with a sell order placed if the price breaks the high. With Bitcoin/Ethereum consolidating sideways, we can only be patient and watch for a pullback, especially given the upcoming data release next week, including the CPI data for July. Last month's surge in crude oil prices suggests rising inflation is inevitable. Analysis and strategies are for reference only; please bear your own risks. Article review and publication are not timely; please refer to real-time information.