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Institutions Increase Bitcoin Holdings Against the Trend, Sovereign Funds Cut Gold Allocations

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A Bitwise survey shows 15 large institutions held their bitcoin positions during the recent decline, while some sovereign funds trimmed gold allocations and added bitcoin exposure, making institutional positioning a key window into market trends.

Bitwise's latest institutional survey reveals that amid notable volatility in the bitcoin market, 15 large institutions chose to maintain their holdings during the price decline, while some sovereign funds further reduced gold allocations and shifted capital into bitcoin. This adjustment in institutional positioning reflects a change in how large funds view bitcoin as an asset class and offers a fresh window into digital asset allocation trends.

The survey sample covers large institutions including pension funds and sovereign funds. According to the results, the 15 institutions did not exit during bitcoin's decline but held their existing positions. At the same time, some sovereign funds lowered the share of gold in their portfolios and correspondingly increased bitcoin holdings. This cross-asset adjustment is not simply short-term trading behavior, but rather signals a trend of large institutions reallocating risk exposure between traditional safe-haven assets and emerging digital assets. Institutional holdings are often regarded as a key market indicator, especially those of pension funds and sovereign funds, which manage large amounts of capital and hold assets over long cycles. Their allocation changes tend to reveal structural market shifts more clearly than short-term price movements. This sample structure means the survey reflects not only market sentiment but also a reassessment of digital assets' allocation value by long-term capital. Therefore, the types of institutions covered and the allocation direction revealed by this Bitwise survey carry significant reference value.

In terms of allocation implications, large institutions holding bitcoin against the trend during a decline suggests their positioning logic is closer to long-term allocation rather than chasing short-term gains. The move by some sovereign funds to reduce gold and increase bitcoin further indicates that asset allocation thinking is expanding from sole reliance on precious metals as a safe haven toward greater diversification into digital assets. The inclusion of pension funds and sovereign funds in the sample distinguishes this survey from ordinary retail trading statistics and offers a perspective closer to the true stance of institutional capital. Especially given that sovereign funds typically target stability and long-term returns, the direction of their asset adjustments deserves close tracking. This is particularly important at a time of heightened bitcoin price volatility, when markets are more susceptible to short-term sentiment while institutional choices often better reflect medium- and long-term allocation tendencies.

However, institutional counter-trend accumulation is not the only variable facing bitcoin. On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that the short-term on-chain profit rate for bitcoin has hit a 14-month high, just as bitcoin's price reached an eight-month high. CryptoQuant warns that the on-chain profit rate is in a historically sensitive zone, and the short-term market may face pullback risk. On the macro liquidity front, Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller explicitly stated that inflation risks are rising and the Fed may need to raise interest rates further. Since Fed policy directly affects liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market, such remarks could pressure sensitive assets including bitcoin. Institutional counter-trend holdings occur against this dual backdrop, meaning the subsequent price path will depend not only on institutional allocation intentions but also on changes in on-chain profit-taking and macro liquidity expectations. Therefore, while institutional accumulation carries positive signal value, short-term market conditions may still face trading-level disruptions.

On the regulatory and product front, recent developments echo the institutional allocation trend. The chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission publicly expressed support for tokenizing stocks on blockchain, stating that the financial system is accelerating toward the crypto era. This signals a relatively positive stance from U.S. regulators toward the crypto industry, representing a milestone for the sector's long-term development. For institutional investors, improved regulatory attitudes help reduce compliance uncertainty around holding crypto assets and provide policy expectations that could encourage more traditional institutions to participate. In Europe, the world's first euro-hedged bitcoin ETC recently launched, with HSBC providing currency hedging services for the product. This product addresses the exchange rate risk faced by eurozone investors holding bitcoin, further diversifying bitcoin investment tools and supporting crypto adoption in Europe. For euro-denominated institutions or investors, lower currency risk enhances bitcoin's accessibility and attractiveness as an allocation asset. Regulatory statements lower long-term compliance costs, while product innovation resolves practical currency obstacles; together they form the external conditions for institutional bitcoin allocation. From this perspective, progress on the regulatory and product fronts is not isolated but mutually reinforcing with institutional positioning behavior. Both developments fall in the same time window as the institutional accumulation trend revealed by the Bitwise survey: improved regulatory expectations and more complete product tools provide clearer environmental support for institutional bitcoin allocation.

Overall, the Bitwise survey reveals that large institutions chose to hold bitcoin during its recent decline, with the shift by some sovereign funds away from gold and toward bitcoin being particularly noteworthy. Market participants will likely focus on several directions going forward: first, the actual implementation of the Fed's future rate path and its impact on risk assets; second, whether bitcoin's short-term on-chain profit rate triggers broader profit-taking; third, whether the SEC will issue a specific compliance framework following its stance on tokenized stocks; and fourth, actual subscription performance by European investors after the launch of the euro-hedged bitcoin ETC, and whether more traditional financial institutions follow with similar products. These developments will collectively determine whether the institutional accumulation trend can persist over a longer time horizon.

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