On Polymarket, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points in 2026 has risen to 66%, a 21% increase in the last 24 hours.

PPP forecasting market monitoring shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by a cumulative 50 basis points in 2026 has risen to 66% on Polymarket, a 21% increase in 24 hours; the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point rate hike has risen to 15%, a 7% increase in 24 hours. According to the settlement rules, this market settles based on the number of 25 basis point units that the Fed will actually raise rates in 2026. A single 50 basis point hike is counted as two hikes, including emergency hikes. A single hike of 1 to 24 basis points is also counted as one hike. The market's settlement is based on the statement released after the FOMC meeting held by the Fed according to the official schedule in 2026. The Fed concluded its monetary policy meeting on September 16th, announcing a 25 basis point rate hike, the Fed's first rate hike since July 2023. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.