The market has lowered its expectations for the OpenAI Astra model; the probability of it scoring above 1490 after its initial release on Arena.ai has dropped by 31% in the past 24 hours.

According to PPP's market prediction tool, in the Polymarket prediction event "What score will OpenAI's Astra model achieve in its debut on Arena.ai?", the probability of a score of at least 1490 is currently 32%, a decrease of 31% in the last 24 hours. The probability of a score of at least 140 is currently 32%, a decrease of 17% in the last 24 hours. If the OpenAI Astra model officially debuts on the Arena.AI leaderboard, and its score reaches the market-defined score at 12 PM EST the day after its debut, it will be considered a "Yes"; otherwise, it will be considered a "No". AutoEval scores are not counted. If multiple Astra models debut on the same day, the highest score will be used. If no qualified Astra model debuts before the end of 2026, it will be considered a "No". Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.