The market predicts a 63% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in September.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, market forecasts indicate that the Federal Reserve is more likely to maintain interest rates unchanged in September. Polymarket's trading volume exceeded $20.3 million, with a 63% probability of maintaining rates; Kalshi's corresponding probability was 65%, with a trading volume of nearly $4.9 million. CME FedWatch shows a 55.6% probability that the Fed will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on September 16, and a 44.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike. On July 31, CME FedWatch projected a 67% probability of a rate hike. Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on August 7 showed that non-farm payrolls decreased by 23,000 in July, with the unemployment rate at 4.1%. The Fed maintained interest rates unchanged at its July 28-29 meeting, and the next meeting will be held on September 15-16.