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Polymarket's probability that "Claude Fable 5 will resume service for US customers by July 1st" has risen to 97%, a 71% increase in the last 24 hours.

2026-07-01 04:01:17
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PPP prediction market monitoring tools show that the probability of "Claude Fable 5 being restored for US clients by July 1st" on Polymarket has risen to 97%, a 71% increase in 24 hours. Due to export controls imposed by the US government on national security grounds, Anthropic suspended global access to the Claude Fable 5 model a few days after its release on June 9th. Latest news indicates that Anthropic has been notified that the US Department of Commerce has lifted export controls on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 and will begin restoring access. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
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