分析：4月比特币上涨由期货驱动，现货需求萎缩或预示价格回调

PANews2026-05-01 05:56:00

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PANews 5月1日消息，据Cointelegraph报道，CryptoQuant报告显示，比特币4月约20%的上涨“完全由永续合约需求增长驱动”，而现货需求在整个上涨过程中持续萎缩，表明新增买家是投机性而非基于基本面因素入场。CryptoQuant警告称，价格上涨与现货需求萎缩的分歧是价格涨幅属投机性而非结构性的最清晰链上信号之一。当前需求模式与2022年熊市开始时相似，当时期货需求激增而现货需求下降，最终导致持续价格下跌。比特币牛熊强度指数已从4月的50回落至40，表明市场情绪“趋向看跌”。

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