U.S. election countdown, Bitcoin is brewing a major market shift! Plus, operational opportunities

1. With less than two weeks until the midterm elections, Trump has essentially played all his cards on the table. Today, let's zoom out and examine what Washington is betting on in these final two weeks, and how this relates to financial markets. First, let’s review what Trump has done in the past two weeks: First, he has restrained Middle Eastern tensions by promising not to attack Iran before the election, firmly containing the largest inflation bomb—the Strait of Hormuz. Second, he has waived sanctions on Russia, aiming to flood the market with cheap diesel and bring down oil prices. Third, he has applied extreme pressure on the Federal Reserve, publicly calling for interest rates to be cut to 1%. Although Powell is currently in a quiet period, appearing to ignore the pressure, the expectation that the Fed won’t raise rates in October is now virtually certain! 2. Have you noticed? All recent major macro moves share one core objective: stabilize oil prices, reduce inflation, and secure votes. What does this mean for the crypto market in the coming two weeks? In the short term, we’re entering a 'political stabilization period'—a stagnant phase. Since Trump is aggressively suppressing oil prices, inflation expectations won’t spike anytime soon. Meanwhile, the Fed is silent, making it nearly certain that no rate hike will occur in October. This weakens upward momentum in U.S. Treasury yields, meaning Bitcoin is likely to remain trapped in its current range of $80,500 to $83,500, oscillating sideways. In these final two weeks, neither bulls nor bears are willing to make drastic moves—they’re both waiting for the election results. But beware: the real storm comes after the election! 3. Therefore, our Bitcoin strategy is crystal clear: in the less than two weeks before the election, avoid betting on a sharp breakout in either direction. With the market in a holding pattern, liquidity will dry up. Instead, trade within the $80,500–$83,500 range using a high-low swing approach.