The probability that "the CLARITY bill will be signed into law by 2026" on Polymarket has fallen to 5%, a 12% drop in the last 24 hours.

PPP forecasting market monitoring shows that the probability of the "CLARITY bill being signed into law in 2026" on Polymarket has dropped to 5%, a 12% decrease in 24 hours. This morning, the US Senate held a procedural vote to conclude the debate on the CLARITY bill, ultimately failing to pass with 49 votes in favor and 50 against (far below the 60-vote threshold, and even failing to secure a simple majority). All Democratic and independent senators present voted against it, as did four Republican senators (Susan Collins, Josh Hawley, Jerry Moran, and Thom Tillis); Democratic Senator Chris Coons did not vote. It is understood that a senator has filed a motion for reconsideration, reserving the possibility of further deliberation. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.