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The probability of a foldable iPhone launching in the US at a price higher than $2,300 on Polymarket has dropped to 15%, a 35% decrease in a single week.

2026-09-07 11:36:56
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According to PPP's market prediction tool, the probability of a foldable iPhone's initial US price exceeding $2,300 has dropped to 15% on Polymarket, a 35% decrease in a single week; the probability of it exceeding $2,200 has dropped to 42%, a 17% decrease in a single week. The contract rules for this event are as follows: any foldable smartphone released by Apple will be considered a foldable iPhone, even if it is not explicitly named iPhone. If the price of the first publicly announced foldable iPhone in the US market is greater than or equal to a specified amount, the market will be judged as "yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "no." If Apple releases multiple foldable iPhones, the lowest announced starting price will be used. If Apple does not announce the price of the foldable iPhone before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on September 30, 2026, the market will be judged as "no." According to Apple's official announcement, the 2026 fall product launch event will be held at 1:00 AM Beijing time on September 10th, with the theme "Surprise and Shine." However, Vodafone's pricing data in Australia and Egypt has unexpectedly leaked. Australian sources indicate that the iPhone Ultra will offer 256GB, 512GB, and 1TB storage options, starting at AU$3699. Industry insiders speculate that the starting price for the US version of the Ultra may be around $2000. Join the PPP signal push community to get a head start and seize opportunities.
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