On Polymarket, the probability of the US ending its blockade of Iran by September 30th has dropped to 44%, a 18% decrease in the last 24 hours.

PPP forecasting market monitoring shows that the probability of the US ending its blockade of Iran by August 31st has dropped to 23%, a record low for this event, down 10% in 24 hours; the probability of ending the blockade by September 30th has fallen to 44%, down 18% in 24 hours. A spokesperson for the Iranian Joint Military Command has announced that no vessel can safely pass through the Strait of Hormuz without permission. Any vessel must obtain permission from Iran to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran completely controls. The spokesperson also stated that Trump's claims about controlling the strait are lies and merely a manifestation of his military's incompetence. The Iranian armed forces will not hesitate to defend national rights, sovereignty, and the ideals of the Islamic Revolution, and will respond to threats of any type and level with unprecedented severity and force. Join the PPP signal push community to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.