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A high-probability Polymarket trader is going long BTC at 20x leverage, anticipating that the Fed will not raise interest rates in September.

2026-08-11 05:34:30
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According to BlockBeats, on August 11, tradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight) reported that Polymarket trader "Stable-Armament" currently holds both "No" and "September interest rates unchanged" shares, totaling approximately $51,000, clearly betting that the Fed will not raise interest rates in September.


The aforementioned predicted position is currently valued at approximately $55,300, with a total unrealized profit of approximately $4,321. Historical data shows that "Stable-Armament" has recorded 301 wins and 72 losses in 373 completed predictions on Polymarket, achieving an overall win rate of 80.7% and accumulating profits of approximately $1,133,500.


Meanwhile, its associated Hyperliquid address (0xf00e) is going long 15.7 BTC with 20x leverage, a position value of approximately $1.006 million, which is the account's current main holding; the average entry price was $63,557.1, BTC is currently trading at $63,951, the unrealized profit is approximately $6,196, the return rate is approximately 12.4%, and the liquidation price is $54,828.6.


This trader had previously completed eight rounds of BTC trading on Hyperliquid, with six profitable rounds and two losing rounds, achieving a win rate of 75%; after deducting transaction fees, the net profit was approximately $172,700. The current BTC long position is part of their ninth round of trading.


The on-chain Perp and address analysis tool TradingBeats are now live, supporting real-time viewing of Hyperliquid data, from address tracing to whale operations, providing in-depth analysis and a complete overview.

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