Polymarket currently reports a 61% probability that the next Claude Opus model will be released on July 23, 2026, a 51% increase in the last 24 hours.

PPP forecasting market monitoring tools show that the probability of the next Claude Opus model being released on July 23, 2026, is currently 61% on Polymarket, a 51% increase in the last 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of release before July 24 is currently 9%, and the probability of release before July 25 is currently 5%. The settlement will be based on the date (Eastern Time) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the public. Only models officially named "Opus" by Anthropic are valid and must be publicly available (including public testing or open waiting lists). Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not included; the final settlement will be based primarily on Anthropic's official information. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.