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On Polymarket, the probability of "LeBron James joining the Philadelphia 76ers" has surged to 18%, compared to just 0.3% two days ago.

2026-07-04 08:04:43
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According to PPP's prediction market tool, in the multi-option prediction event "Which team will LeBron James play for next season?" on Polymarket, the probability of him joining the Philadelphia 76ers has surged to 18%, compared to only 0.3% two days ago. The probability of him joining the Golden State Warriors has dropped to 18%, a 16% decrease in 24 hours; the probability of him joining the Cleveland Cavaliers is 41%, a 1% increase in 24 hours. After completing the signing of Ben Simmons and the trade for Jaylen Brown, the Philadelphia 76ers have now met LeBron James's requirements for his next team. ESPN's Brian Windhorst publicly interpreted this as James explicitly requiring recruiting teams to make substantial improvements before choosing a new team. If James ultimately joins, the Philadelphia 76ers will be able to field a starting five of Maxi, Edgecombe, Jaylen Brown, James, and Embiid next season. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
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