Polymarket has listed a new article: "Tesla will launch Robotaxi service in California by December 31st."

PPP's market prediction tool shows that Polymarket has added a new prediction: "Tesla will officially launch its robotaxi service in California by December 31, 2026." If Tesla officially launches an autonomous taxi service in California that requires no continuous human driver intervention by the end of 2026, it is rated "Yes"; otherwise, it is rated "No." Tesla continues to advance its autonomous driving and Robotaxi deployments, but progress varies significantly by region. Currently, it is conducting more aggressive driverless mobility testing and planning in some parts of the US (such as Texas), while in the California market, it is still mainly constrained by a stricter regulatory system. The California DMV and CPUC have set up a multi-stage approval process for the commercial operation of driverless vehicles, involving multiple hurdles such as road test data, remote safety driver requirements, and commercial passenger transport permits. Currently, Tesla in California mainly operates with its supervised self-driving function (FSD supervised) and has not yet obtained a commercial Robotaxi license that allows fully driverless operation. In contrast, its "Cybercab" and Robotaxi commercialization path is widely seen by the market as prioritizing deployment in regions with more relaxed regulations, and progress in California remains highly uncertain. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, anticipating changes before pricing.