According to BlockBeats, on July 20th, data from @defioasis showed that among the more than 194,000 unique trading addresses in the Polymarket World Cup champion prediction market, nearly 130,000 addresses made incorrect predictions and incurred losses, accounting for 66.7%. Among these, 114,000 addresses lost less than $100, with an average loss of less than $10; 43 addresses lost more than $100,000, with a total loss exceeding $15 million.

In terms of profitability, most profits were less than $100, with an average of less than $5; the real big profits came from a small number of traders, with 54 addresses successfully earning more than $100,000, totaling more than $22 million.

According to BlockBeats, on July 20th, a whale named "Set 10 Big Goals First" posted on the X platform, stating, "My recent trades (in Bitcoin) have all been short-term long positions. I haven't taken any short positions because the cost-effectiveness of shorting at this time is too low. Relatively speaking, it's already at a stage bottom, and I have a feeling that Bitcoin should soon break out and start a new round of upward movement. I'm afraid of missing the starting signal."

This order (referring to the long position of 69.4 BTC opened on the 18th) may be considered a medium- to long-term position; the specifics depend on the situation, and repeated short-term trading is possible. A significant correction in US AI-related technology stocks is possible in the next six months.