Polymarket currently rates the probability of Democrats controlling both the House and Senate after the 2026 midterm elections at 50%.

According to PPP's prediction market tool, in Polymarket's "2026 US Midterm Election Congressional Control" prediction event, the probability of the Democrats controlling both the Senate and the House of Representatives is currently reported as 50%; the probability of the Republicans controlling the Senate and the Democrats controlling the House of Representatives is currently reported as 38%; and the probability of the Republicans controlling both the Senate and the House of Representatives is currently reported as 12%. According to the settlement rules, this market will settle based on whether the Democrats or Republicans control the Senate and the House of Representatives after the 2026 US midterm elections. In principle, the party that wins a majority of seats in both houses gains control, but if no party wins a majority, the party that wins half of the voting seats and also controls the Vice President's position will be considered to control the Senate. The 2026 US midterm elections will be held on November 3, 2026. Tether US executive Jesse Spiro previously stated that the 2026 US midterm elections could change the political landscape of Congress, thereby affecting the regulatory achievements the crypto industry has made in Washington over the past two years. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead and seize opportunities.