Polymarket's probability that "Israel will close its airspace by June 30" has risen to 64%, with a 24-hour increase of 52%.

According to Odaily Seer, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace by June 30" on Polymarket has risen to 64%, a 24-hour increase of 52%; in addition, the probability of "Israel will close its airspace by June 15" has risen to 59%, a 24-hour increase of 52%. Airspace closure refers to the closure of all or most of Israel's civilian airspace, flight cancellations, or a complete suspension of commercial aviation, including transit, arrival, and departure of commercial flights. A qualifying closure must apply to flights throughout Israel or to a significant portion of eligible Israeli airspace. Limited flight cancellations, delays, temporary ground groundings, or closures in specific areas do not qualify for a "Yes" rating. A few exceptions within a large-scale closure, such as allowing some pre-approved flights to continue, will not affect the closure's validity. Warnings, no-fly zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions issued by airlines or other countries outside of Israel are not sufficient grounds for a "Yes" rating. Following the ceasefire between the US, Israel, and Iran on April 8, Iran launched missiles at Israel again today, two months after its first attack. Trump stated that his advice to Iran is that since the missiles have been launched, they should return to the negotiating table and reach an agreement. Trump also indicated he would call Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and tell him not to retaliate. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before they are priced in.