Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that MegaETH announced today that it will conduct a TGE on April 30th, and the probability of "MegaETH launching its token before April 30th" on Polymarket is currently 95%, which may be related to the settlement rules. The market's settlement rules state that if MegaETH officially launches its governance token before 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the date specified in the title, the prediction market result will be judged as "yes"; otherwise, it will be judged as "no". Another key rule, "the token must be publicly transferable and tradable; merely issuing a related announcement does not meet the judgment conditions," may explain why the probability does not reach 100%. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before pricing.
MegaETH has officially announced its TGE (Tencent Token Offering) on April 30th, and Polymarket currently reports a 95% probability of issuance on that day.
2026-04-24 04:46:46
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