Polymarket has a new listing: "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?"

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, Polymarket has a new listing for "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?", with a current probability of "Yes" at 74%. The contractual rules for this event are as follows: if a formal announcement is made before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, that Cursor will be acquired or merged with SpaceX, the market decision is "Yes"; otherwise, the market decision is "No". A merger or acquisition involving Cursor or its parent company (if applicable) with SpaceX or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp., qualifies, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs, as long as Cursor or SpaceX makes an announcement within the market's timeframe, the result is "Yes". Announcements of partial sales may also qualify, provided the acquiring company obtains a controlling stake in another company. "Controlling stake" refers to a change of ownership sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions (typically more than 50% equity, or equivalent control through voting rights and governance rights); transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling stake do not qualify. The primary decision-making source for this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, consensus from credible reporting can also be considered. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.