On Polymarket, the probability of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran before April 18 has risen to 54%, a 27% increase over the past 24 hours.

According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, the probability of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran before April 18th has risen to 54%, a 27% increase in the past 24 hours. Furthermore, the probability of a diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran before April 30th has risen to 94%, a 22% increase in the past 24 hours. According to the rules of the event contract, a diplomatic meeting refers to a formal meeting where representatives of the US and Iran, in their official capacities and authorized to represent their respective governments, negotiate or conduct diplomatic activities regarding US-Iran relations. Indirect meetings, such as those conducted through designated mediators, coordinators, or dialogue partners with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, also fall under the category of diplomatic meetings. The Pakistani Foreign Ministry has invited the US and Iran to Islamabad for a second round of negotiations. The date and time for the second round of US-Iran negotiations have not yet been determined. In addition, Iranian Deputy Interior Minister Ali Zenivand stated on the 13th that US President Trump's remarks about "destroying" Iranian civilization were a "joke," and that "those who do not understand Iranian civilization cannot appreciate its power." Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.