Data shows that 99% of Polymarket traders cannot consistently generate stable profits.

According to data released Monday by crypto analyst Andrey Sergeenkov, only 0.015% of Polymarket traders consistently earn over $5,000 per month for four consecutive months. The data shows that nearly 1% of traders have earned over $5,000 in a single month, but only 0.1% can repeat this achievement the following month. Of the approximately 2.5 million wallets, only 840 have accumulated profits exceeding $100,000, and these include trading accounts of professional institutions such as hedge funds. Among the more profitable traders, most do not remain on the platform long-term. Of the 6,600 wallet addresses with average monthly profits exceeding $5,000, only 172 have remained active for over a year, representing 2.6%. Sergeenkov stated that most traders leave after a short period of trading. This analysis only includes realized profits and losses, and the data covers the period from April 2024 to April 1, 2026.