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Polymarket estimates the probability of BTC exceeding $72,000 today at only 4%, after it briefly surged to nearly $74,000 last night before retreating.

2026-03-14 08:10:24
Shareshare
According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in Polymarket's prediction event that "Bitcoin price will be above x USD on March 14th," the probability of BTC exceeding $72,000 today is currently only 4%, and the probability of exceeding $74,000 is less than 1%; the probability of exceeding $70,000 is also only 81% (lower than the current market price). Last night, the price of Bitcoin surged to nearly $74,000 before quickly falling back and is currently fluctuating around $70,600, indicating a significant cooling in the related prediction market probability. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.
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