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OCC Issues Final Stablecoin Rules Under GENIUS Act as Banks Warn Lending Could Shrink by $850 Billion

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According to PANews, the OCC has issued the final stablecoin rules under the GENIUS Act, bringing the stablecoin regulatory framework into the final-rule stage. The final rules cover matters including the interest payment ban, review of third-party arrangements, and competition from tokenized deposits. Meanwhile, the banking industry has warned that related arrangements could shrink lending by $850 billion. The source material describes the finalization of the rules as having significant implications for the banking industry and the on-chain dollar landscape. This is the core information currently verifiable; the full text and specific provisions of the final rules have not yet been disclosed in the source material, and the official text remains to be reviewed.

Based on disclosed information, the OCC's final rules are not limited to the stablecoin issuance process but cover three interrelated regulatory areas. First, the interest payment ban involves stablecoin product design, yield distribution, and user incentive methods. It may affect whether issuers can attract funds through yield mechanisms and may also change users' expectations for stablecoin yields. Second, the review of third-party arrangements involves responsibility boundaries and compliance arrangements when issuers cooperate with external institutions; review standards may affect cooperation structures, the allocation of obligations, and the way business is conducted. Third, competition from tokenized deposits reflects the banking system's attention to changes in the form of on-chain dollars, involving fund flows and product boundaries among stablecoins, bank deposits, and credit extension. These three items are not completely independent and may have cross-effects: both the interest payment ban and competition from tokenized deposits involve the boundary between stablecoins and bank deposits, while the review of third-party arrangements may affect issuers' choices between yield and compliance. However, the source material does not disclose the specific scope of application, implementation standards, or transition arrangements for these measures, and related impacts still need to be clarified by the final rule text.

The banking industry's warning that lending could shrink by $850 billion is a key piece of information in the disclosure of these final rules. The figure comes from a warning by banks, not from a quantified result directly stipulated by the OCC's final rules. The source material does not disclose the calculation background, timeframe, baseline methodology, or specific mechanisms of the warning. Therefore, the $850 billion figure should be regarded as a risk warning number raised by banks, rather than an immediately verifiable conclusion about policy impact. Analysts believe this warning may extend the stablecoin regulatory issue into the bank credit sector, drawing market attention to the competitive relationship between stablecoins and bank deposits. However, before the calculation basis and data methodology are further disclosed, the actual impact on bank credit remains to be observed, and it should not be directly equated with a certain outcome of credit shrinkage.

From the perspective of the policy process, the OCC's final rules connect with the stablecoin regulatory requirements under the GENIUS Act, and analysts believe this may mean that relevant regulation has entered the final-rule stage. The final rules cover stablecoin issuance, interest payment arrangements, third-party cooperation, and tokenized deposits. Once the rules are implemented, stablecoin businesses will need to operate under a clearer compliance framework. For stablecoin issuers, they will need to review product structures and external cooperation arrangements in light of the final provisions; for banks, tokenized deposits being brought into the regulatory view may prompt them to assess the relationship between on-chain dollars and bank deposits. Because the full text of the final rules has not been disclosed in the source material, the specific direction of related business adjustments remains difficult to judge. Overall, the OCC's final rules bring stablecoin regulation, the impact on bank credit, and on-chain dollar competition into the same policy discussion, but the details of regulatory implementation still require further observation.

Going forward, attention should be paid to the specific implementation of the OCC's final rules, including the scope of application of the interest payment ban, the operational standards for the review of third-party arrangements, and the impact of competition from tokenized deposits on the business models of banks and stablecoin issuers. Banks' warning that lending could shrink by $850 billion may also become an important reference for assessing policy spillover effects. Since publicly available information currently discloses only framework-level content, the full text of the final rules, the basis for banks' calculations, and regulatory operational guidance have not yet been presented in the source material, and related changes in market structure remain uncertain. This article focuses only on verifiable facts in the original source material and does not include further ex post information; subsequent developments should be subject to official documents and regulatory explanations.

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