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Polymarket: In the settled markets of the US midterm elections, 98.4% of the popular options predicted correctly

2026-11-05 00:18:17
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Odaily Planet Daily News: Polymarket posted on X platform stating that there were 419 winning outcomes among the most popular market options the day before the election, accounting for 98.4%; additionally, 7 results differed from the popular option, and 78 remain unsettled. Polymarket also noted that in 10 key elections, it predicted outcomes with a 99% probability, approximately 31 minutes earlier than the median time reported by CNN, Fox News, and the Associated Press (AP). For instance, its prediction for the Michigan Senate election came about 4 hours earlier than mainstream media.
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