Market Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 4th

Tonight at 20:30, the US August non-farm payroll data will be released (expected +53,000, previous -23,000, unemployment rate 4.1%). ADP only increased by 38,000, and initial jobless claims surged. The market has partially priced in a "weak non-farm payroll." Our internal community has already provided strategies in advance; to follow our advice, check my profile QQ. Joining us will also grant you high returns. --- Three Scenario Probabilities and Strategies: Scenario 1 (Probability approx. 35%): New jobs < 30,000, unemployment rate ≥ 4.2% → BTC hits 84,000, ETH targets 2,620. Strategy: If the data breaks through 81,500 with significant volume after the release, target 83,500. Scenario 2 (Probability approx. 45%): New jobs 40,000-70,000, unemployment rate 4.1% → BTC ranges around 80,500, ETH around 2,500. Strategy: Buy low and sell high within the range, (79,000), (82,500), lightly position and wait for CPI. Scenario 3 (probability approximately 20%): New job openings > 100,000, unemployment rate ≤ 4.0% → BTC retraces to 79,000, ETH to 2,440. Strategy: Buy after a sharp drop to 78,500 and stabilization, with a stop loss at 77,500; remain on the sidelines if it falls below 77,000. --- Risk Management Reminder: Volatility is high in the first 5 minutes after data release; it is recommended to wait for the first 15-minute candlestick to complete before taking action.