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On Polymarket, the probability of the US and Iran extending the 60-day negotiation period has dropped to 5%, a 27% decrease this week.

2026-08-17 05:07:40
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PPP forecasting market tools show that in Polymarket's "Will the US and Iran extend the 60-day negotiation period?" forecast market, the probability of an extension has currently dropped to 5%, with a 27% decrease this week. According to the settlement rules, if both the US and Iran officially announce through official channels that they have agreed to extend the negotiation period before 23:59 EST on August 20th, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". Anonymous leaks, third-party information, or statements merely indicating a possible extension are not counted. Previously, in June, the US and Iran announced a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), stipulating that they would negotiate a final agreement within a maximum of 60 days, with the possibility of extending the negotiation period by mutual agreement. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.
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