Suspected "abnormal" address fuels war escalation; Polymarket traders take their first long position in crude oil, buying $13 million worth.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Hyperinsight monitoring shows that Polymarket trader "xm39" yesterday placed a short position of $803 in "Yes" shares, predicting a US invasion of Iran by 2027. This morning, within approximately six hours, he completed 223 consecutive buy orders. This marks the first time he has heavily invested in a war and macro-geopolitical event, based on his 42 historical positions, 50 completed trades, and recent 500 activity records. As of press time, he currently holds 806,700 Yes shares, with a cost basis of approximately $223,000, an average price of 27.63 cents, and a floating loss of approximately -4.12%. Monitoring indicates that "xm39" is highly associated with a Hyperliquid trading address starting with 0x40f, currently holding the largest long position in WTI crude oil on that platform. Simultaneously, this address is also continuously betting on crude oil prices in response to escalating war on Hyperliquid, marking the first time in nearly a year that this address has opened a crude oil contract. Yesterday, this whale added a total of 133,300 WTI crude oil futures contracts (CL), with a trading volume of approximately $10.791 million and a weighted average price of $80.93. Today, it further increased its position by 2,581,300 contracts. As of press time, the whale held 155,200 long CL contracts with a leveraged position of 20 times, with a position value of approximately $13.22 million and an average entry price of $81.8. The position has a floating profit of approximately $510,500, representing a return of approximately 80.3%. As it continued to roll over its position, the liquidation price has been pushed up to $81.56, which is now below the entry price. Fund flow data shows that today, the whale withdrew approximately $246,400 in four transactions to the 0x2000 system address (HyperEVM). The first $100,000 withdrawal occurred this morning, and about one minute later, "xm39" began to concentrate its position on Polymarket. The net outflow of $246,400 is very close to the $222,200 invested in the prediction market today. Based on address association, operation time, and fund size, this portion of funds is highly consistent with being used to bet on "the US will invade Iran before 2027" after the cross-chain transaction.