According to BlockBeats, on August 27th, Polymarket trader "r1ch4rd" reported that his long-term CLARITY bill prediction position, established in June, has suffered a floating loss of approximately 74.9%, and he has not sold any shares to date. Meanwhile, after suspending Hyperliquid trading for nearly two months, he recently resumed trading in the last six days, completing nine rounds of contract trading, all of which were profitable, accumulating a total profit of approximately $482,400.
r1ch4rd has been betting since June 3rd that the CLARITY Act will be signed into law in 2026. It has completed 19 buy orders, holding approximately 33,400 Yes tokens at a cost of approximately $19,300, with an overall position establishment probability of approximately 57.83%. The position was established when the market probability was still close to 60%; from June 8th to 11th, after the probability dropped to 46%, it continued to slightly increase its position.
As of press time, the probability of this event has dropped significantly to 14.5%, approximately 43.3 percentage points lower than its overall probability of establishing a position. Its position is currently showing a floating loss of approximately $14,500, representing a loss of about 74.9%, but it has not yet sold any Yes shares.
Around the same time that the CLARITY position was established, r1ch4rd also began frequently trading Hyperliquid (0xe60d), but its early performance was not ideal. From the establishment of the first prediction position to June 27, its contract side accumulated a net loss of approximately $305,500, mainly from NEAR, ZEC, and the first round of ETH long positions.
After June 27, the address suspended Hyperliquid trading for approximately 56 days until it re-entered the market on August 22.
The results after his return were completely the opposite. He has completed nine rounds of trading in the past six days, all of which were profitable, earning approximately $482,400.
- 8 rounds of ETH long/short trading resulted in a cumulative profit of approximately $473,500;
- One round of BTC short positions yielded a profit of approximately $8,897;
The largest single-round profit came from a long position of 2,450 ETH established between August 24th and 25th, realizing a profit of approximately $163,600. The latest round involved buying ETH at $2,465.5 and closing all positions at $2,484.3 this afternoon, with a position of approximately $8.903 million, resulting in another profit.
In comparison, its current CLARITY forecast position is only showing a floating loss of approximately $14,500. The contract profits over the last six days alone have reached approximately 33.4 times its initial investment.