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On Polymarket, the probability of the US and Iran holding another round of peace talks before August 31st has dropped to 22%, a 10% decrease in the last 24 hours.

2026-08-10 11:37:53
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PPP forecasting market monitoring shows that the probability of the US and Iran holding the next round of peace talks before August 31st has dropped to 22%, a 10% decrease in 24 hours; the probability of talks before September 30th has dropped to 56%, an 8% decrease in 24 hours. The Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Committee has announced the approval of a strategic action plan outline to ensure the security and development of the Strait of Hormuz. Trump stated that he is preparing to increase economic pressure on Iran, saying in a brief phone call: "We're handling this quietly, we're only in a semi-negotiating state. We're just looking at Iran, they're facing severe inflation and a shortage of funds." Trump emphasized that Iran's economy is in "very bad shape" and that it has no money to pay its military salaries. Trump also stated that the US naval blockade has exacerbated Iran's economic crisis. Join the PPP signal push community to get ahead of the curve and seize opportunities.
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