The probability of Ethereum reaching $3,000 by 2026 is 17% on Polymarket.

According to Odaily Planet Daily, the Polymarket contract for "Will Ethereum reach $1,000 or $3,000 first?" had a trading volume of $95,300. Traders priced the $1,000 result at 54 cents and the $3,000 result at 50 cents. This market uses Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candlestick data for settlement, and the expiration date is December 31, 2026. The Polymarket market for "What price will Ethereum reach in 2026?" had a trading volume of nearly $9 million. Traders believe there is an 83% probability that Ethereum will reach $2,000, a 56% probability of reaching $2,500, a 12% probability of reaching $3,500, and a less than 4% probability of reaching $5,000. Another Polymarket contract tracking whether Ethereum will reach a new all-time high had a trading volume of $2.3 million. Traders believe there is a 6% probability that it will happen before December 31st and a 1% probability that it will happen before September 30th. According to relevant market data on Kalshi, traders believe that Ethereum has a 15%, 12%, and 10% probability of exceeding $3,500, $3,750, and $4,000 this year, respectively.