美元上涨,一切皆跌
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——中国投资者重返市场,又变盘了。
美国9月非农就业报告出炉,这是一份无论从哪个角度看,都堪称“强劲”的就业报告。
市场一直处于“坏消息就是好消息”的状态,这份报告中确实没有坏消息。对美联储来说,是一个错误的方向,美联储原本打算降低劳动力需求,从而给工资成长降温,最终拉低通胀。这份报告说明美联储加息“无用”,没有给美国劳动力市场降温。
第一,11月加息75基点基本板上钉钉;
第二,市场对本轮加息的终点利率预期已经上调至4.66%。
但这些仅仅是表象的东西。
市场再度动荡 :
市场走势又恢复到了之前有意思的“美元上涨,一切皆跌”和“好消息就是坏消息”模式。
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