According to Odaily Seer's monitoring, in the predict.fun "World Cup Group F First Place" prediction event, the probability of the Netherlands winning Group F has risen to 76%, an increase of 32% in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of Japan winning Group F is currently reported at 22%. Today, in the second round of the World Cup Group F group stage, the Netherlands defeated Sweden 5-1; Japan defeated Tunisia 4-0, eliminating Tunisia from the competition. Odaily Seer continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before prices are set.

According to Al Jazeera, the Iranian president stated that $6 billion in frozen funds currently held by Qatar will be returned as part of a preliminary agreement to end the war with the United States. (Jinshi)

According to Iran's Tasnim News Agency, maritime navigation data shows that since the Iranian military announced the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on the 20th, no ships have been passing through this strategic waterway, with traffic reduced to zero. Contrary to the US military's claims, the strait is currently under Iranian control and is closed. (CCTV International News)

According to Odaily Planet Daily, Iranian military sources say the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy will not issue passage permits to any vessels until further notice. (Jinshi)

According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been in negative territory for 44 consecutive days (from May 19th to present), with the latest value at -0.1089%. This index measures the deviation of Coinbase's (a major compliant US platform) BTC price from the global average. A sustained negative value indicates heavy selling pressure in the US market, declining risk appetite, capital outflows, or increased risk aversion. Historical data shows that prolonged negative premiums are often accompanied by the departure of US institutional funds, warranting caution regarding short-term downward pressure. Darkfost, a writer for CryptoQuant, stated that institutional demand for BTC lags behind demand. The Coinbase Premium Index is primarily used to assess the demand for Bitcoin from professionals and institutions. By comparing BTC prices on Coinbase Advanced and Binance, you can directly understand the purchasing behavior of these users. Negative data means that institutional investors are selling more than retail investors, who are mostly active on the Binance platform; their actions have led to a decline in the Coinbase Advanced index price. Previously, the index had been in a negative premium for 40 consecutive days from January 16 to February 24 this year, setting a record for the longest "consecutive negative" period since the index was launched, exceeding the approximately 30 consecutive days of negative premium during the "1011 crash".