Key takeaways
- BTC range trading between $100,000–$105,000, currently $103,409.
- ETF divergence: Bitcoin spot ETFs added $524 million, while Ethereum spot ETFs lost $107 million. Solana streak continued with a $7.98 million inflow for 11 consecutive inflow days.
- De-risking backdrop: since early October many ETF trading days have seen heavy net outflows (up to $700 million).
- Derivatives muted: futures open interest remains low; leverage rebuild is limited.
- ETH supply: Binance ETH balances at lowest since May which is typically an accumulation signal.
- Macro divergence: since Aug 11, Gold +21%, S&P 500 +7%, Bitcoin −15, pointing to non-uniformity in capital allocation.
